Manufacturing activity shrank for 4th straight month in January

The official non-manufacturing managers’ index rose to 50.7 in January from 50.4 in December, according to NBS. Strength in the country’s services industry helped offset weakness in the construction sector amid a slump in the real estate sector.

A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity, while a reading below that level points to a contraction.

Of the five sub-indexes for the manufacturing PMI, new orders marginally increased, though production jumped 1.1 percentage points.

Employment for both non-manufacturing and manufacturing sectors edged lower in December.

The business activity index for the construction industry, included as part of the non-manufacturing PMI, stood at 53.9 a decrease of 3.0 percentage points.

Zhao Qinghe, a senior statistician at China’s NBS, attributed the weakness in construction to factors such as low temperature in winter and the approaching Spring Festival holiday, which marks the start of industry’s off-peak season.

The annual Spring Festival, also known as the Lunar New Year, starts Feb. 10 this year. China is typically shut down for the annual week-long holiday.

The country’s migrant workers typically take off earlier to spend more time with their families in their hometowns, given that Spring Festival may be the only time in the year that some see their families.

This is reflected in the increased propensity for travel and broader consumption demonstrated in January’s non-manufacturing PMI.

The business activity index for the retail, road and air transportation, catering and other related industries have climbed into the expansion range, while those for railway transportation among others have jumped to 60 and more, Zhao said in a separate release.

Still, the broader economic outlook is a patchy one.

Pan Gongsheng, the People’s Bank of China governor, unexpectedly announced last week a cut in the amount of liquidity that banks are required to hold as reserves.

Later that day, Beijing released a fresh policy mandate aimed at easing the cash crunch for Chinese developers, which have struggled under the crackdown on the sector’s bloated debt.

The property market slumped after Beijing clamped down on developers’ high reliance on debt for growth in 2020, weighing on consumer growth and the broader growth in the Chinese economy.

The PBOC has said there’s room for further monetary policy easing. Reducing the reserve requirements that banks must maintain will increase the capacity for lenders to extend loans and spur spending in the broader economy.