The 3.8% return this week takes Kinross Gold’s (TSE:K) shareholders one-year gains to 42%


If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. To wit, the Kinross Gold Corporation (TSE:K) share price is 38% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 3.5% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 35% in three years.

Since it’s been a strong week for Kinross Gold shareholders, let’s have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Kinross Gold

To quote Buffett, ‘Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace…’ One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Kinross Gold went from making a loss to reporting a profit, in the last year.

While it’s good to see positive EPS of US$0.033 this year, the loss wasn’t too bad last year. But judging by the share price, the market is happy with the maiden profit. Inflection points like this can be a great time to take a closer look at a company.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth

earnings-per-share-growth

We know that Kinross Gold has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Kinross Gold will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It’s fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Kinross Gold the TSR over the last 1 year was 42%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It’s good to see that Kinross Gold has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 42% in the last twelve months. That’s including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 6% per year), it would seem that the stock’s performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example – Kinross Gold has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn’t sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Canadian exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Read More:The 3.8% return this week takes Kinross Gold’s (TSE:K) shareholders one-year gains to 42%

2023-07-02 13:16:38

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